Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.186449 0.214019 0.245258 0.283478 0.329250 0.382646 0.450150
2025-07-20 0.147208 0.183847 0.229970 0.293210 0.379110 0.493880 0.662589
2025-07-27 0.122885 0.163158 0.217959 0.299957 0.423097 0.607297 0.916310
2025-08-03 0.107152 0.149291 0.210308 0.308402 0.468812 0.733825 1.235901
2025-08-10 0.094399 0.136707 0.201139 0.311093 0.504459 0.853162 1.591871
2025-08-17 0.084263 0.126061 0.192505 0.311912 0.535894 0.973413 2.003823
2025-08-24 0.075703 0.116436 0.183619 0.309942 0.560944 1.088489 2.462395
2025-08-31 0.068236 0.107479 0.174300 0.305035 0.578536 1.193232 2.954197
2025-09-07 0.063833 0.103035 0.172029 0.312776 0.623913 1.376526 3.778974
2025-09-14 0.058260 0.095844 0.163721 0.306846 0.637607 1.487600 4.463081
2025-09-21 0.054508 0.091448 0.159974 0.309581 0.672097 1.667212 5.532418
2025-09-28 0.050614 0.086349 0.154182 0.306816 0.692435 1.815695 6.622318
2025-10-05 0.048007 0.083451 0.152502 0.313311 0.739692 2.071950 8.491938
2025-10-12 0.045696 0.080883 0.151179 0.320509 0.791636 2.373032 11.020854
2025-10-19 0.043541 0.078386 0.149670 0.327004 0.843993 2.707258 14.324746
2025-10-26 0.041788 0.076505 0.149228 0.336111 0.907635 3.127045 19.111345
2025-11-02 0.039729 0.073786 0.146590 0.339026 0.952837 3.502309 24.543549
2025-11-09 0.037719 0.070977 0.143408 0.339915 0.991977 3.880830 31.217813
2025-11-16 0.035692 0.067947 0.139367 0.337722 1.019992 4.229226 38.910268
2025-11-23 0.033648 0.064704 0.134473 0.332271 1.034711 4.523086 47.264504
2025-11-30 0.032584 0.063510 0.134350 0.340868 1.107160 5.213651 65.774869
2025-12-07 0.030774 0.060509 0.129485 0.334282 1.116605 5.530819 79.829945
2025-12-14 0.029602 0.058850 0.127793 0.337319 1.168319 6.186384 107.613427